Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 211.257862 237.048355 265.491280 299.315500 338.609045 383.016458 437.281270
2025-04-13 165.286157 197.623559 236.227638 286.185972 349.822442 429.122503 536.929029
2025-04-20 149.041669 185.942769 232.428811 296.241094 383.076480 499.393898 670.984127
2025-04-27 138.318919 178.653424 231.765594 308.377697 418.718375 576.224112 826.416660
2025-05-04 126.317874 167.719861 224.211197 309.062261 437.174260 630.190685 957.195958
2025-05-11 114.111431 154.938742 212.285087 301.350518 441.259377 661.998228 1057.619399
2025-05-18 104.422391 144.623909 202.571712 295.331318 446.421622 695.241624 1165.632178
2025-05-25 99.936381 141.324620 202.636309 303.999866 475.712224 772.142348 1367.130127
2025-06-01 93.813687 134.972971 197.348098 303.307534 488.906656 822.643478 1528.883421
2025-06-08 87.383279 127.590225 189.725690 297.794862 492.724236 856.182243 1663.043145
2025-06-15 82.937513 122.923209 185.959280 298.279734 507.137149 911.691185 1856.985661
2025-06-22 77.642412 116.502577 178.782247 292.018311 508.047339 940.318323 1996.287498
2025-06-29 73.571165 111.878739 174.383789 290.574104 518.621223 991.862846 2207.975482
2025-07-06 67.867352 104.212546 164.296718 277.818722 505.364723 990.625855 2286.639821
2025-07-13 66.448556 103.568823 166.185657 287.522687 538.893209 1098.698947 2689.971108
2025-07-20 65.411738 103.475692 168.990625 299.217396 578.226323 1228.054724 3201.141229
2025-07-27 62.805860 100.485879 166.350337 299.877142 593.574214 1302.344985 3572.442161
2025-08-03 59.277852 95.660174 160.008815 292.445957 589.716167 1327.272714 3791.843794
2025-08-10 56.244771 91.539262 154.695169 286.644629 588.904798 1360.177147 4052.134874
2025-08-17 55.253631 91.018195 156.087541 294.999098 622.720120 1494.061735 4739.769252
2025-08-24 53.210310 88.455991 153.394952 294.331926 634.468061 1568.318145 5232.009952
2025-08-31 50.762029 85.013095 148.770021 289.019123 633.884771 1606.344009 5592.615731
2025-09-07 49.132743 83.005727 146.827782 289.486449 648.215713 1692.950794 6212.882619